The question of the week: how would the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) respond to its embarassing defeat to Jubaland forces in Lower Jubba and continue efforts to isolate regional president Ahmed Madobe? The answer: By augmenting efforts in Gedo… Read More ›
jubaland
Somali Regional Leaders Must Present Specific Policy Ideas to Resolve Crises
In early May at a week-long summit in Garowe, Somali leaders failed to agree on a myriad of issues related to security, elections, political meddling, and revenue sharing. There is no way forward for resolving the key policy differences between the… Read More ›
Analysis: Dadaab Refugees Stopped on Return to Somalia, Raising Repatriation Questions
On Monday, Jubaland regional authorities in Somalia stopped a convoy of refugees from transiting to their destination due to a lack of humanitarian assistance to support their return, raising further questions of how refugees can leave Kenya’s Dadaab camp safely and sustainably. VOA has the latest:… Read More ›
New “Breakaway” Administration Forms in Somalia In Latest Federalism Dispute
On 25 December, three districts in Somalia’s Bakool region formed a breakaway administration after claiming its communities were marginalized by the Interim Southwest Administration (ISWA). Upper Bakool (aka Bakool Sare) – including representatives from Yeed, Aato, and Ceel Barde districts… Read More ›
As Madobe Wins the Presidency, Jubaland Politics Remain Highly Contested in Somalia
On 15 August, the Interim Jubba Administration’s (IJA) parliament — which federal MPs attempted to dissolve in June due to a contested selection process — elected Ahmed Madobe as regional president in a landslide victory garnering 68 of 74 votes. Madobe’s supporters,… Read More ›
AMISOM and Somali Forces Take Major Towns from Al-Shabaab — What’s Next?
Kenyan, Ethiopian, and Somali forces recently seized Baardheere and Diinsoor from al-Shabaab after a long pause in major operations and a withdrawal of several towns during Ramadan due to al-Shabaab’s devastating attack against AMISOM’s Burundian troops in Leego. Timed perfectly… Read More ›
Jubaland Suspends Relations With Somalia’s Government — What’s Next?
Taking a page out of Puntland’s political playbook, the Interim Jubba Administration (aka Jubaland) said it has suspended relations with the Somali Federal Government (SFG) after the federal parliament passed a vote of “no-confidence” against the process to select IJA’s regional… Read More ›
Key Takeaways from U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry’s Visit To Somalia
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry visited Mogadishu’s highly fortified airport base on Tuesday for about three hours before reportedly returning to Nairobi. During that time, he met with President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and regional leaders Ahmed Madobe (IJA), Sharif Hassan Sheikh… Read More ›
Putting the Puzzle Together: What Does the Future Hold for Somalia’s Military Forces?
The prospect of AMISOM forces leaving Somalia in the coming years depends on the capacity of the country’s regional and federal military forces to finally cooperate and unite under a Somali National Army that looks much differently than the current… Read More ›
Clan Tensions in Kismayo Simmer a Year after Violent Battles
Kismayo continues to be the site of contentious clan dynamics almost a year after violent battles among clan militias supporting or contesting Ras Kamboni leader Ahmed Madobe and the formation of his “Jubaland” administration. It has also been more than six… Read More ›
Somalia’s Federalism Woes Challenge Stability Amid Military Offensive
Federalism was supposed to help decentralize power from the Somali federal government (SFG) in order to give more authority to potentially more effective local administrations. So far, the process has led to a fight among local and foreign elites over… Read More ›
Analysis: Baidoa Becoming the Next Crisis in Somalia’s Federalism Process
After patting itself on the back for putting a pause on the “Jubaland” crisis, Somalia and its international partners in IGAD and UNSOM will soon have to address the next federalism row in the country emanating from the Bay region… Read More ›
Kenyan Minister and Media Stir Confusion on Refugee Return
Kenya’s Interior Cabinet Secretary Joseph Ole Lenku recently made misleading and factually incorrect statements about the repatriation of Somali refugees. The Kenyan media’s subsequent misreporting of Lenku’s statements caused further confusion—resulting in UNHCR having to correct growing rumors that refugee camps… Read More ›