Author Archives
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Around the Horn: Somalia Keeps Pressure on Jubaland and Articles of the Week
The question of the week: how would the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) respond to its embarassing defeat to Jubaland forces in Lower Jubba and continue efforts to isolate regional president Ahmed Madobe? The answer: By augmenting efforts in Gedo… Read More ›
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Key Takeaways from the Clashes in Jubaland and the Ankara Declaration
On the same day that Jubaland regional forces summarily defeated forces from the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) near Raas Kambooni, Turkey announced that Ethiopia and the FGS signed the Ankara Declaration to ease tensions between the two nations stemming… Read More ›
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Analysis: Somali Government Executes Pressure Campaign against Jubaland
Amid an ongoing dispute over the format of local and national elections, the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) is executing a high pressure campaign against Jubaland region through lawfare, territorial pressure, and political pressure. Background: FGS and allied regions (Hirshabelle,… Read More ›
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Somali President’s Mandate Extension: Brilliant Strategy or Grave Misstep?
This week, Somalia’s president Mohamed Abdullahi “Farmaajo” signed an unconstitutional Lower House resolution extending his term for two years and mandating One Person-One Vote (OPOV) elections to be held in 2023. The move is the latest controversy in elections that… Read More ›
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Analysis: Somalia’s President and Opposition Battle for International Support Amid Delayed Elections
On March 8, in a letter to Somalia’s key foreign partners, the Council of Presidential Candidates (CPC) demanded the president hand over key powers to the prime minister, alleging Villa Somalia can no longer negotiate a path to holding elections… Read More ›
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Somali Government Announces New Election Timeline As Parliament’s Mandate Expires
Amid ongoing delays in holding timely elections, Somalia’s Federal Electoral Implementation Team (FEIT) announced an updated timeline for Upper House (December 31 – January 6) and Lower House polls (January 7 until an unidentified date.) Who’s the Spoiler?: Despite no… Read More ›
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Somalia’s Turkish-Trained Special Forces Are Being Politicized Ahead of Elections
As the Somali electoral crisis continues, the country’s special forces risk becoming politicized in an emerging violent conflict between the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) and rival forces in Jubaland’s Gedo region. Open source flight data from December 19 and… Read More ›
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Somalia’s President May Worsen Electoral Impasse Without Foreign Pressure
Pressure from foreign donors, rather than public protests, is more likely to force Somalia’s president to cease stifling the opposition, interfering with electoral committees, and diverting blame for electoral delays. Background Following previous agreements on an alternative process for one… Read More ›
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Around the Horn: Somalia’s Coronavirus Cases Now Among Highest in East Africa
Djibouti’s “Return to Normal” Djibouti will begin “unlocking the country” in one of the most recent examples of a nation relaxing quarantine measures over social fatigue and economic distress rather than victory over the virus. For example, South Sudan is… Read More ›
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Somalia Gets Ventilators, Kenya Mass Tests in Poor Areas, and More East Africa Updates
Djibouti As of May 4, Djibouti has confirmed 1,116 positive coronavirus cases from 14,222 tests. Somalia Journalism on the coronavirus in Somalia continues to explore the operational tempo of grave sites and ambulance drivers as a means to understand the… Read More ›
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Unexplained Deaths in Tanzania, Somalia’s Coronavirus Data Gaffe, and more East Africa Updates
Djibouti Via Mohamed Salh: Djibouti reported 8 new COVID-19 cases in the last 24 hours, bringing the country’s total confirmed cases to 1,097. It has reported two deaths and 672 recoveries. Somalia Both Somaliland and Puntland confirmed the first deaths… Read More ›
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East Africa Coronavirus Roundup: April 30, 2020
Djibouti The US military base in Djibouti is on lockdown after a second case of coronavirus was confirmed (via RFI): Camp Lemonnier, which provides the US military with a strategic foothold in east Africa, will go on indefinite lockdown to… Read More ›
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First Confirmed Coronavirus Cases Emerge in Somalia’s Southwest Region and AMISOM
On April 28, Somalia announced 48 new coronavirus cases, including the first confirmed positive tests in the Southwest region. The total case load in the country has reached 528, with 28 confirmed deaths. The new cases in the Southwest region… Read More ›